All win probability models are wrong — Some are useful – StatsbyLopez

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As in the moments following the 2016 US election, win probabilities took center stage in public discourse after New England’s comeback victory in the Super Bowl over Atlanta. Unfortunately, n…
All win probability models are wrong — Some are useful – StatsbyLopez
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All win probability models are wrong — Some are useful – StatsbyLopez
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All win probability models are wrong — Some are useful – StatsbyLopez
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All win probability models are wrong — Some are useful – StatsbyLopez
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All win probability models are wrong — Some are useful – StatsbyLopez
All models are wrong, but some are useful”. George E. P. Box – AdMoRe ITN
All win probability models are wrong — Some are useful – StatsbyLopez
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All win probability models are wrong — Some are useful – StatsbyLopez
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All win probability models are wrong — Some are useful – StatsbyLopez
All models are wrong, but some are useful”. George E. P. Box – AdMoRe ITN
All win probability models are wrong — Some are useful – StatsbyLopez
All models are wrong, but some are useful”
All win probability models are wrong — Some are useful – StatsbyLopez
nflWAR: a reproducible method for offensive player evaluation in football
All win probability models are wrong — Some are useful – StatsbyLopez
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